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  Globalisation
   

What is Globalization?

In a narrow sense, globalization describes the increasing internationalization of production, distribution, and marketing of goods and services. In a broader sense, it refers to the expansion of global linkages, the organization of social life on a global scale, and the growth of a global consciousness, hence to the consolidation of the world society. It is a complex economic, political, cultural, and geographical process in which the mobility of capital, organizations, ideas and peoples has taken on an increasingly global or transnational form.
Economic globalization refers to the process that advancing the integration of the world economy through trade and investment. Political globalization refers in part to an increasing trend toward multilateralism, in which the United Nations plays a key role and national non-governmental organizations (NGOs) act as watchdogs over governments. International NGOs increase their activities and influence over national economies and their states' decision-making. Cultural globalization refers to the worldwide cultural standardization. It is the process by which tastes and preferences of individuals become more similar across countries e.g. Hollywood movies, McDonald's or Sushi, etc. Geographical globalization refers to the trend of intensifying connections among people at widely varying spatial and temporal scales. The reduction in the barriers to real and virtual interaction among people, even between distant places, is due to the rapid increases in transportation and communication technologies.

Globalization comprises three core elements: the expansion of markets; challenges to the state and institutions; and the rise of new social and political movements.

The expansion of markets
Technological improvement and government deregulation help establish the transnational networks in production, trade and finance. These networks are now expanding globally.

In the goods and services market, advanced means of communication and new techniques of production help establish the production and trade networks among nations so that the quantity and the speed of goods and services trade across the globe increase. Also, in financial markets, globalization facilitated by new financial instruments permits a wider range of services to be bought and sold across the world economy. Both goods and services and financial markets have been expanding under globalization.

The transformation of politics
The second element of globalization is the challenges to the state and institutions. Because of the increase in political interactions among nations, political power and political activities will be widely spread across the border. The global issues like human rights, environmental protection will require states to coordinate policy-making at levels above the nation-state. Thus, the original political situation may be changed. The sates' political boundaries become much less important.

The emergence of new social and political movements
Because of the advanced communication system and the media like internet, book and music, international ideas and values can easily be transferred across countries and develop a new global culture which may inspire some new social and political ideas as well as movements.

Pros and Cons of Globalization

Pros

Increase Economic Growth
Economic globalization is the process of integration of the world economy. Under the economic globalization, nations open up their economies to import goods, services, and capital from other nations by removing barriers such as trade restrictions, quotas, tariffs and restrictions on foreign ownerships. This can create more opportunities for a country to promote trades and attract investments. The increasing trades and investments under globalization can drive economic growth and create jobs.

Increase the Efficiency of Business
Economic integration lowers national barriers to trades and investments, so goods, services and money move more freely throughout the world. Businesses are exposed to competition and advanced technology. Less competitive and profitable businesses will fail and exit the market. To survive, firms have to maintain their own competitiveness. Thus, open economic systems can create incentives for companies to be more cost-efficient in order to stay competitive.

Benefits to consumers
Firms are more efficient. Production costs are kept low in free market. Hence, consumers will benefit from low prices and enjoy increased real income.

In addition, as countries participate in international trades, they will shift their pattern of production to those goods and services that they have comparative advantages to trade at competitive prices. Consumers will then benefit from the increasing variety of goods and services available and the lower prices.

Gains to the owners of multinational enterprises
Globalization allows free movement of new communication technologies among nations. New communication technologies such as the use of the internet, e-mail, mobile phones and satellite broadcasting offer people more opportunities to communicate in groups and get new information from both close and distant sources more quickly. With the knowledge of the rest of world in their finger tips, multinational enterprises can respond faster to the changes of wage costs, shifting their production from higher-wage industrialized countries to lower-wage developing countries. As a result, the lower wage costs can benefit the owners of the enterprises.

Also, the owners of multinational enterprises can gain from the openness to foreign investments. In the developing world, capital is scarce. Most investment opportunities remain unexploited. When multinational enterprises invest their capital in the developing countries, their returns on investment are likely higher than those in the industrialized countries.

Higher Living Standard
An open economy, which encourages international trades and foreign investments, expands the choice set for consumers and brings in capital and technologies from abroad. Thus, with more choices and higher technologies, people's living standard is raised.

Capital inflow to poor economies; increase total export of developed countries
Due to the higher mobility of capital under globalization and higher return of investment in the developing countries, more foreign direct investment (FDI) will go to developing countries.

Moreover, after making FDI, companies in developed countries export more intermediate goods to the developing countries (FDI-receiving countries) for further production process but export less finished goods for sales. If the rise in exports of intermediate goods outweighs the fall in exports of finished goods, total exports from the FDI-sending countries rise. Thus, FDI-sending countries will benefit.

Cons

Reduction in Economic Growth
More liberalized trade may have negative impacts on jobs and economic growth when a country imports more than exports. This imbalance is most likely to happen to countries whose domestic industries were heavily protected before the liberalization. If these industries cannot survive under the intensified international competition, the countries will rely more on imports. Given the same exports, the net exports will decrease as well as the GDP and economic growth.

Widening of Income Inequality
The combined action of increased trade and capital flows under globalization is likely to raise the demand for and push up the wages of some relatively skilled labor in certain industries which have comparative advantages in a country. On the other hand, the demand for relatively unskilled labor falls, so as their wages. This widens the income inequality within the country.

Job Losses
Globalization results in competition among nations. That means domestic exports have to compete in the international market. Unfortunately, some domestic companies may fail to survive or relocate their production line to other countries with lower costs; hence, more people in the domestic country lose their jobs.

Downward Pressure on Wages
Free trade and FDI may take jobs from workers in the advanced industrial economies to cheaper workers in poor countries. Because of an increase in the idle labor in developed countries, there is a downward pressure on overall wages. Meanwhile, although the poor workers in developing countries are drawn into jobs, most of them still have to work for long hours in shabbier premises and get very low pay.

Supervision from international organization
Multinational economic institutions, such as the World Trade Organization, the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund, are seen as the monitors who render judgment on global trade practices. These organizations will intervene as some countries violate the trade agreement under free trade. Therefore, countries are now bounded by more global rules and regulations, which did not exist before free trade.

Tax Avoidance and the Reductions of Social Protection
Corporations are inclined to invest in a place with lower tax rate. With the trend of economic integration and globalization, if there is tax differential between countries, people or corporations most likely move to places with lower tax rates to make their investment. In order to attract the inflows of FDI, governments have to lower the tax rates for corporate income. Thus, globalization gives rise to tax competition which not only limits governments' controls on the tax system, but also reduces their tax revenues.

In many nations, especially the developing one, corporate tax revenues are one of the major sources of state income. Tax avoidance and tax competition will cause inadequate revenues of governments to support the infrastructure development and limit the government's ability to provide social programs and safety nets.

De-regulation
Trade agreements require governments to remove many legislative or administrative regulations which may restrain free trade. Many barriers to free trade are removed despite the potential environmental, social or developmental effects of doing so. For example, Canada has for many years banned the production and the use of insecticide DDT within the country due to its negative environmental impact, but she cannot restrict any food with the use of this insecticide imported into Canada. Thus, trade agreements may defeat some national policy.

Threatening Environment
An upsurge of trades and investments in the natural resource industries such as forestry, mining, and petroleum development are threatening the health of the world forests, mountains, waters, and other sensitive ecosystems. According to a research conducted by the World Watch Institute, globalization threatens the planet and its inhabitants. For instance, the size of our forests is shrinking as the value of global trade in forest products climbs from $29 billion in 1961 to $139 billion in 1998; fisheries are collapsing as fish exports rise nearly fivefold in value since 1970; human health is also endangered with the usage of pesticide increasing nearly nine-folded since 1961.

In addition, high-tech industries such as computers and electronics have also gone global in recent years, which have heavy environmental costs. It is because semiconductor manufacturing employs hundreds of chemicals which contain carcinogens that will harm human health.

The Possible Impacts of Globalization

Privatization
Globalization pushes countries to privatize public utilities, such as electricity, water and public transport because government may not provide the public utilities in an efficient way. As a result, many public utilities change their modes of operation. For instance, medicare systems and hospitals become 'user pay' and only accessible to those who can afford to pay. Many research institutions now depend on private funding, and have to re-direct their research focus from subjects of public interest to areas of commercial value. Public transport only exists where there is an adequate base of customers, but it will be reduced or eliminated at the peripheral regions.

Enforcement of Global Rules and Regulation
At the international level, globalization provides small states with new opportunities, but also highlights the existing power and advantages of large and powerful states. With the increasing transnational economic activities like large volume of trading goods and services, global rules, regulations and free trade agreements are required to ensure equality and non-discrimination among countries. This requirement creates the need for the enforcers of the rules. The enforcers are usually the large and powerful states.

Human Rights and Democracy
The spread of democracy itself is also a result of globalization. It is because globalization allows democratic idea spreading widely around the world easily. Also, with advanced communication system, international investors are easier to access the information and know which countries offer better human rights situation. They will then choose a politically stable country with secure private property rights to invest. If the local government wants to attract foreign investment, it has to engage in democratic reforms. In this sense, freeing trades and investments can encourage democratization.

Implications of Globalization on Social Security

There seems to be a trade-off between globalization and having a welfare state. A society usually gets fund by imposing different taxes to provide some degree of public social security. However, some taxes will reduce its economic competitiveness in the global context. For example, corporate tax will reduce the profits of the owners of corporations. To maximize their profits, the owners will move their corporations to the countries where they face lower corporate tax rate. If government taxes on the returns of capital and labor, then capital and labor will migrate to countries where their returns are not so depressed. Therefore, there is a pressure for all countries to minimize taxation and force governments to dismantle their welfare state and shift to the private provision in order to cut the governments' expenditure.

Nevertheless, government income is crucially important because the income can be used both for financing social security and for promoting the efficiency of economic production, such as the provision of law and order, spending on education that can enhance the productivity of workforce. Unfortunately, the lower tax rate caused by tax competition limits the revenues received and the spending of governments, and forces governments to make choices between improving productive efficiency and providing social security when they decide how to spend their funds. Governments usually value the productive efficiency more. Hence, spending on public provision, especially for the elderly, may decrease. It is because the elderly have already left the workforce, public spending on them will not add to productive efficiency. Thus under globalization, governments tend to lower taxation to attract more labor and capital, and ignore the welfare of their elderly. Such competitive success will force other nations to pursue similar low-tax policies. As a result, public provision may dismantle gradually as globalization intensifies.

Implications of Globalization on Education

Given the increasing economic globalization and restructuring in the world political and economic systems, the requirement for having more knowledge and information is inevitable. Hence, higher education received by the individuals in the future workforce is required. Other than formal institutional educations, continue education is important as well.

Moreover, the globalization of the economy demands the workforce to have various skills and abilities. Therefore, the workforce should have an improved education that can enhance the ability to access and apply knowledge; to think independently; to exercise appropriate judgment and to collaborate with others. The traditional education system which simply conveys a body of knowledge should be reformed, so as to teach how to learn, solve problems and synthesize the old with the new.
In order to meet challenges brought by globalization, several components of teaching should be included or enhanced:

Focus on abstract concepts
The reality of the rapid-fire global economy requires those who are seeking valuable employment to be able to identify problems, gather necessary information, and make decisions and choices based on complex uncertain realities. Therefore, education should focus on training learners to be more familiar and comfortable with abstract concepts and uncertain situation.

Enhances the students' ability to manipulate symbols
In today's economy, business persons are required to constantly manipulate globally used symbols, such as political, legal and business terms and concepts (such as intellectual property rights), and digital money (in financial systems and accounting concepts). Therefore, the education system should enhance the students' ability on that.

Increased quantity of scientifically and technically trained persons
Some kinds of industries emerge in the age of globalization like biotechnology; new materials science; human genetics; advanced computing; artificial intelligence, and human or computer interfaces. These industries demand employees that are highly trained in science and technology. Therefore, universities have to quickly adapt to the needs and expand this element in education system.

Encourages students to work in teams
Under globalization, communication among nations and multinational enterprises increase. Employees need to work closely in teams. Therefore, students, the future workforce, should be encouraged to work in teams to develop interpersonal skills such as in-group dynamic, leadership and management.

Not only should students learn to work in teams, but they should also learn to work in global networked virtual teams. This enhances team performance when using virtual tools to communicate, structure group dialogue and decision making, record rationales for choices, and facilitate collective activities.

Implication on the Roles of Government

The roles of governments become less important under globalization. It is because under economic integration, governments cannot control the mobility of the factors of production. Individuals can easily move their resources out from those countries with less ideal economic conditions to where they can maximize their utilities. The nation-state becomes a dysfunctional unit in terms of which to organize economic activity.

Although the roles of governments become less important after economic integration, they still have at least three vital functions which can only be carried out by nation-state governments. They are:

1. To protect the members of society from oppression or injustice of each other;
2. To protect the society from invasion by other nations;
3. To erect and maintain an infrastructure that supports public goods.

The first function of a government is to protect the members of society by maintaining and enforcing the legal system. For individuals to maximize utility, a legal system is required to protect private ownership of property and adjudicate disputes among contracting parties.

The second function is to protect its own country and sustain sovereignty when there is a threat of invasion. Even if the multinational enterprises have become more powerful against the government, they cannot be compared with that of the government since they cannot tax on citizens and conscript the tax revenue as they want. They are also unable to deploy physical force fight against the enemies.

The third function of a nation-state government is to establish the infrastructure such as improving education, building transportation system, and expanding communication links. The existence of these infrastructures can attract more investments which are central to economic development. Hence the role of establishing infrastructure can directly influence the growth of a nation's economy.

Besides the three functions, there are some responsibilities which cannot be neglected by governments under globalization.

Education
In some developing countries, the poor drop out after primary school while the rich go on to higher education. Therefore, the government should move quickly in the direction of universal secondary education. So as to upgrade the labor force, increase the incomes of the great majority and thus making globalization becomes good for everyone.

Labor Force
The workers have the risk to be exploited by the companies e.g. longer working hours, poor working conditions. Government should pass regulations to protect workers from the greater power of employers and from labor market risks. The regulations should include a more socialized solution to unemployment risk by adopting contributory individual savings, unemployment benefits, etc.

Social Security
Facing the benefits and challenges of globalization, the national governments have to make choices whether to resist or accept the consequences of globalization. For example, Government may force down domestic wage level in order to maintain a competitive labor market to secure jobs or try to isolate the domestic economy by means of protection. Both methods can indeed help the country to have higher competitiveness which is very important to a country when it goes global. However, they are difficult to achieve and may lead to serious social consequence because of lower wage payment and falling living standard.

If the national governments allow their countries to go global and get accept the potential advantages of globalization, they should concentrate on the development of technology and knowledge, both in education and industrial terms, in order to maintain the social interest of citizen. Meanwhile, governments should transfer the resources to generate a generous system of social welfare at the expense of employment.

An important part of the role of national governments is to make global economy system work better and more acceptable. For example, through providing social capital and common goods to preserve the basic needs of society and reduce the destruction from advanced globalization.

Besides, governments are the initiators of policies and regulations to promote environmental protection and health and safety standards. Governments have to set the rules governing the economic environment in an effort to restrain the excess of the market and discourage corruption. It is also important for governments to oversee the provision of constantly upgrade communications and other physical infrastructures so as to encourage investment.

Although the decision-making capacity of governments under globalization is decreasing, their representative capacity remains significant. Governments have the principle mean of protecting national economic interests at international meetings of associations, such as World Trade Organization (WTO) or the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Overall, the losses in terms of economic sovereignty and the ability to pursue macroeconomic policies are balanced by new responsibilities created by the onset of fully global capitalism.

    Keywords: International Trade, Social security, Globalization
     
 

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Economics Course in International Trade: International Trade Policy
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References
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References related to International Trade (19 references are shown.)

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The "Exchange Risk Premium," Uncovered Interest Parity, and the Treatment of Exchange Rates in Multicountry Macroeconomic Models

  Author: Ralph C. Bryant, Senior Fellow, Economic Studies
Book: Brookings Discussion Papers in International Economics
  Year: 1995
  The literature on exchange markets conventionally defines the gap between the forward exchange rate and the expected future spot exchange rate as an "exchange risk premium." Part I of this paper skeptically reviews existing interpretations of the exchange risk premium and then presents an alternative conceptual framework. Part II revisits the issue of how to model the determination of exchange rates in empirical macroeconomic models, focusing on the typical use of the uncovered interest parity condition combined with the assumption of model-consistent expectations. The paper discusses why this treatment of exchange rates is inadequate and makes some suggestions for future research. Part III of the paper replicates some "standard" regressions, widely reported in the empirical literature, thought to have a bearing on whether the forward exchange rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate, whether survey expectations produce unbiased predictions of actual changes in exchange rates, and whether a bias in the forward rate can be attributed to a time-varying risk premium. If the perspective in this paper is accepted, the conventional statistical literature has devoted excessive resources to estimation of these standard but not particularly revealing regressions. All three parts of this paper make use of empirical data on exchange rate expectations collected since 1985 by the Japan Center for International Finance.
  Remarks: The full version of the paper in PDF format can be downloaded at: http://www.brook.edu/views/papers/bryant/111.htm
   
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An Examination of Uncovered Interest Rate Parity in Segmented International Commodity Markets

  Author: Burton Hollifield (University of British Columbia) Raman Uppal (University of British Columbia)
Book: The Journal of Finance
  Year: Dec, 1997 Vol: Volume: 52 Number: 5 Page Number: 2145 - 2170
  They examine the effect of segmented commodity markets on the relation between forward and future spot exchange rates in a dynamic economy. They calculate the slope coefficient in our theoretical economy from regressing exchange rate changes on forward premia. With reasonable parameter values, the slope coefficient is less than unity. However, even for extreme parameters the slope is not less than zero, as found in the data. A negative slope coefficient in a nominal version of the model requires the covariance between monetary shocks and relative output shocks to be significantly negative, in contrast to the covariance in the data.
  Remarks: Paper can't be downloaded on web!
   
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Comparing Regional Integration in Non-identical Twins: APEC and the FTAA

  Author: Feinberg, Richard
Book: Integration and Trade
  Year: 2000 Vol: 4(10), pages 3-30.
  Both the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum and the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) owe their origins to common factors, including a more relaxed international environment, market-driven integration, and more conducive national development models. Yet, both regional integration schemes faced opposition, and in striking parallels, final decisions were dependent upon special historical circumstances and leadership choices. The two regional trade projects share a similar agenda of issues, do not challenge global market integration and target identical end dates. The FTAA adheres to traditional reciprocal bargaining, while APEC prefers an "Asian" unilateral voluntarism suited to APEC's less harmonious politics. The FTAA benefits from assistance from existing regional organizations, enjoys a greater clarity of objectives and crispness of negotiating modalities, and generally stands on firmer ground. As part of larger regional community-building projects, the two trading arrangements are accompanied by a multitude of development initiatives. Despite some tangible accomplishments, both processes have been frustrated by the inherent logic of weak institutionalization. Both trade-centric processes have tackled labor and environmental matters unlinked to trade sanctions. In their treatment of political and security issues, APEC and Western Hemisphere summitry differ starkly.
  Remarks:
   
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Constructing a Global Architecture with an American Blueprint: The Ambivalent U.S. Attitude toward Asian Regional Cooperation

  Author: Snyder, Scott
Book: Global Economic Review
  Year: 1999 Vol: 28(3), pages 76-89.
  In step with the global trend toward regionalism, there has been significant progress in the development of a regional institutional framework in Asia, although perhaps to a lesser degree than other parts of the world. This is evidenced by the establishment over the past decade of APEC, ASEAN Regional Forum, and other multilateral attempts to address specific security issues. The attitude of the United States toward the development of such institutions for regional cooperation has been quite ambivalent and its approach might be described as ad hoc, utilitarian or instrumental. This paper examines the rhetoric, politics, and policy of America's seemingly ambiguous and inconsistent approach to Asian regional cooperation in an attempt to illustrate the factors that shape U.S. policy toward such efforts.
  Remarks:
   
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Long-Run Effects on China of APEC Trade Liberalization

  Author: Adams, Philip D., et al.
Book: Pacific Economic Review
  Year: 2000 Vol: 5(1), pages 15-47.
  : Plans for trade liberalization within the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation (APEC) Forum include the elimination of all tariffs between member states. The study in this paper uses two computable general equilibrium models to examine the effects of these plans, focusing on China. The modelling shows that liberalization increases China's capital stock and real GDP. The implication for Chinese industries depends on the extent to which liberalization exposes them to additional import competition. Industries strongly stimulated include textiles and communications equipment. Transport equipment is the most adversely affected. Chinese regional results follow from the industrial compositions of the regions, with Zhejiang the most favourably affected and Jilin the least.
  Remarks:
   
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APEC and beyond

  Author: Robert A Kapp
Book: The China Business Review
  Year: 2001
  As the principal organization of American firms engaged in trade and investment with China, the US-China Business Council has been pouring its energies into supporting the US business presence at this October's glittering Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) events in Shanghai. Above all, that means the APEC CEO Summit, organized this year by the US-China Business Council's friends and colleagues at the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT), who have waded into a huge multilateral conference-organizing project with enormous competence, devotion, and apparently inexhaustible energies.
  Remarks:
   
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Hello WTO

  Author: Kathy Wilhelm
Book: Far Eastern Economic Review
  Year: 2001 Vol: Vol. 164, Iss. 24; pg. 20.
  The global economic slowdown is putting new strains on trade liberalization even as China moves to embrace it. China used the June 6-7 meeting of Asia-Pacific trade ministers in Shanghai to jump-start its campaign to join the World Trade Organization, reaching agreement with the US on key issues holding up its membership. China also led the 21 members of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum in issuing a strong call for a new round of WTO tariff-reduction talks - an unusual role for a non-WTO member. But China's star turn as free-trade cheerleader was overshadowed by simmering trade disputes that burst onto center stage even as the APEC ministers met.
  Remarks:
   
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APEC and electronic commerce: Doubts about US 'hands off' proposal

  Author: Richard D Taylor
Book: Telecommunications Policy
  Year: 1999 Vol: Vol. 23, Iss. 3/4; pg. 345
  The US has proposed a global hands off policy toward regulation and taxation of electronic commerce. It has been aggressively promoting prompt adoption of this policy by other countries and international organizations. The primary beneficiaries of this policy appear to be US companies and consumers. The policy might further exacerbate many problems for developing countries already produced by economic globalization. Objections have come from both developing and developed nations. APEC has been taking a measured approach, initiating a regional process to address issues and policies, and considering the role it can play. Unabated US pressure may lead to further regionalization, rather than globalization.
  Remarks:
   
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Slow train

  Author: Murray Hiebert
Book: Far Eastern Economic Review
  Year: 1998 Vol: Vol. 161, Iss. 47; pg. 20, 2 pgs
  This year's Apec forum in Kuala Lampur is intended to be a crowning achievement for Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad's 17-year reign. Instead, it is turning into a major headache for several nations. For almost everyone involved in this year's caucus, there are plenty of risks and few potential gains. Asia's financial and economic woes are expected to top Apec's agenda. Analysts are watching to see if the US takes a leadership role in trying to tackle Asia's economic woes. Tokyo is refusing to move on demands that it cut import tariffs on fish and forestry products, putting Japanese on a collision course with its Apec partners. The US and Australia have warned Japan that its position could derail the summit and prompt other countries to erect trade barriers.
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Pacific Bloc Stalled Over US-China Rift WHO SETS TRADE RULES?

  Author:
Book: Christian Science Monitor
  Year: 1994
  China opposes efforts to create a free-trade zone among the economies of APEC's 18 members by the year 2020 because, in the world's fastest-growing region, Beijing says the Chinese economy is still developing and poorer countries should not suffer if tariff barriers drop. "We believe the development of APEC should ... reflect the rich varieties of the Asian-Pacific region while giving proper preference to members of developing countries," Dai Bingguo, vice foreign minister, said in a news briefing. Beijing says it won't stand for the tougher US stance toward China while other countries have been let off the hook with only vague promises to comply with GATT requirements in agriculture and other sectors. Increasingly angry over the GATT obstacles, Chinese officials charge privately that the US is blocking their GATT admission to counterbalance domestic political damage from the most-favored-nation (MFN) decision last May. "The speed of cooperation of APEC should proceed accordingly, but a speedy success should be avoided," says Mr. Dai, the vice foreign minister. "China attaches great attention to the function of APEC and wishes APEC could play a more active role in promoting cooperation in the Asian-Pacific region."
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Is the Financial System Politically Independent? Perspectives on the Political Economy of Banking and Financial Regulation

  Author: Kroszner,Randall S.
Book: University of Chicago Center for the Study of the Economy and the State Working Paper
  Year: 1999 Vol: 151,pages 28.
  This paper investigates the relationship between politics and the banking and financial system and explores the implications of this interdependence for understanding regulations and their reforms. Five complementary positive political economy theories are outlined and applied to understand the pattern of regulation and deregulation in banking and corporate finance. First, the public interest approach considers the maximization of social welfare as the prime motivation for regulation. The private interest theory provides a second approach. This theory emphasizes the strength and organization of interest groups that compete to lobby for protections and privileges. Changing ideology of legislators and voters offers a third alternative. Fourth, the institutional structure of policy-making can affect both the incentives of interest groups to organize and their effectiveness in influencing policy outcomes. Finally, "Leviathan" budgetary considerations of politicians and bureaucrats can motivate regulations that generate funding for government operations. These approaches then help to identify technological, legal, and economic innovations that have been driving the global movement toward financial liberalization and regulatory reform.
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Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies

  Author: Aghion,Philippe; Bacchetta,Philippe; Banerjee,Abhijit
Book: Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper
  Year: 1999 Vol: 2083, pages 33.
  This paper introduces a framework for analyzing the role of financial factors as a source of instability in small open economies. Our basic model is a dynamic open economy model with one tradeable and one non-tradeable good with the non-tradeable being an input to the production of the tradeable. We also assume that firms face credit constraints, with the constraint being tighter at a lower level of financial development. The two basic implications of this model are the following: first, economies at an intermediate level of financial development are more unstable than either very developed or very underdeveloped economies. This is true both in the sense that temporary shocks have large and persistent effects and also in the sense that these economies can exhibit stable limit cycles. Thus, countries that are going through a phase of financial development may become more unstable in the short run. Second, in economies at an intermediate level of financial development, full financial liberalization may actually destabilize the economy. On the other hand, foreign direct investment does not destabilize.
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How Isolated Is the Indian Stock Market: Empirical Research Findings?

  Author: Lamba,Asjeet S.
Book: Journal-of-Financial-Management-and-Analysis
  Year: 1999 Vol: 12(1), pages 35-46.
  Over the past few years India has experienced substantial economic and financial liberalization with the market being opened up to foreign direct investment and portfolio investment. This paper examines the common perception that the Indian equity market systematically reacts to both domestic and external influences. Specifically, It analyzes the long-term linkages between India and the major developed markets of Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, the UK and the US during January 1993-July 1998. The results indicate that during the full sample period the Indian market appears to be relatively isolated from external influences. In general, during the bullish period India appears to be most influenced by Hong Kong and Singapore while during the bearish period all the major developed markets equally influence the Indian market.
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Financial Liberalization and International Capital Mobility of Taiwan: A Regime-Switching Approach

  Author: Ho, Tsung wu
Book: Asian-Economic-Journal
  Year: 1999 Vol: 13(4), pages 407-17.
  In this paper, the relationship between investment and saving rates is embedded in a Markov regime-switching framework where parameters are subject to switching between two different cointegration regimes. The fact that Taiwan has been experiencing a series of financial liberalization policies since 1979 justified the use of a two-state first-order regime-switching model to estimate the model. Evidence from transition probabilities shows that since the late 1970s, the regime of high degree of capital mobility has probabilistically dominated the regime of low degree of capital mobility, which implies that Taiwan's domestic capital market has been more mobile internationally.
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Capital Flows and Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations Following Spain's Entry into the European Community

  Author: Fernandez de Cordoba, Gonzalo; Kehoe, Timothy J.
Book: Journal-of-International-Economics
  Year: 2000 Vol: 51(1), pages 49-78.
  Spain's 1986 entry into the European Community was followed by a dismantling of restrictions on international capital flows. Initial trade deficits and real exchange rate appreciation were followed by trade surpluses and real exchange rate depreciation. This paper analyzes Spain's financial liberalization using a dynamic general equilibrium model with a traded and nontraded good where a capital poor country opens itself to its capital rich neighbors. A carefully calibrated model has trouble accounting for the large changes in relative prices observed given the small changes in quantities. Variants of the model with frictions in factor mobility between sectors fare better.
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Politics, Society and Financial Liberalization: Turkey in the 1900s

  Author: Cizre Sakallioglu, Umit; Yeldan, Erinc
Book: Development-and-Change
  Year: 2000 Vol: 31(2),pages 481-508.
  This article focuses on the political economy of Turkey in the 1990s to illustrate the importance of analysing economic variables that intersect with the quality of political democracy. In 1989, the debt-ridden state moved to systematically and completely deregulate Turkey's financial markets. Together with the ongoing processes of liberalizing commodity markets and integrating with global capital markets, financial liberalization was expected to achieve fiscal and monetary stability, stimulate business confidence to invest in productive sectors, produce stable growth, encourage privatization and control inflation. However, the new hegemony of the capital markets has gone hand-in-hand with deteriorating macroeconomic performance, a worsening income distribution, the discrediting of politics and its isolation from society. The authors examine several key dynamics which are helping to legitimate the neoliberal agenda of the 1990s. These include the distribution of state largesse to manipulate electoral capitalism; the rise of an informal sector in the "Anatolian Tigers"; promotion of the seductive attractions of the market; and an antipolitical reform populism adopted by political actors to exploit popular disillusionment with the political system.
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An Introduction to the Symposium

  Author: Rosefielde,Steven; Stein,Howard
Book: Eastern-Economic-Journal
  Year: 1999 Vol: 25(4),pages 379-87.
  This paper presents an introduction to the EEJ symposium. It initially focuses on the problems that have arisen in the wake of the ascendancy of the neo-liberal model into the realm of international Policymaking. Liberalization, privatization, and stabilization have been introduced with little regard to the stages, history, organizational capabilities and institutional settings of individual developing and transitional economies. Although liberalization engenders shifts in political and economic power, the architects of reform have failed to concern themselves with the potential implications to social structures of countries. The introduction focuses on three issues that concatenate the papers in the symposium: problems with property rights, theoretical and practical problems with the stabilization model, and the weaknesses embedded in the theory underlying financial liberalization. In the conclusions, they briefly point the way to alternatives to orthodox reform.
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An Empirical Examination of Financial Liberalization and the Efficiency of Emerging Market Stock Prices

  Author: Kawakatsu, Hiroyuki; Morey, Matthew R.
Book: Journal-of-Financial-Research
  Year: 1999 Vol: 22(4),pages 385-411.
  The efficient markets hypothesis in finance suggests that as equity markets are liberalized and made more open to the public, equity prices should reflect the increased availability of information and be more efficiently priced. In this paper, we examine whether emerging market equity prices have become more efficient after financial liberalization. Using two sets of financial liberalization dates, a battery of econometric tests, and data from sixteen countries and three composite portfolios, we find that in spite of theory suggesting the opposite, liberalization does not seem to have improved the efficiency of emerging markets. In fact, most of our statistical tests indicate that the markets were already efficient before the actual liberalization.
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Are All Banking Crises Alike? The Japanese Experience in International Comparison

  Author: Hutchison, Michael; McDill, Kathleen
Book: Journal-of-the-Japanese-and-International-Economies
  Year: 1999 Vol: 13(3),pages 155-80.
  This paper examines episodes of banking sector distress for a large sample of developed and developing countries, highlighting the experience of Japan. We estimate a multivariate probit model that links the likelihood of banking problems to a set of macroeconomic variables and institutional characteristics. The model predicts a high probability of banking sector distress in Japan in the early 1990s. The likelihood of an episode of banking distress rose in line with the sharp drop in asset prices, deepening recession and a "moral hazard" problem (financial liberalization combined with explicit deposit insurance).
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References related to Social security (1 references are shown.)

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Globalization and social security

  Author: Landis MACKELLAR, Tatiana ERMOLIEVA & Helmut REISEN
Book:
  Year: September 2000
  The followig is the abstract of this paper: In this paper, the authors use a neoclassical model to quantify the impact of globalization on social security systems and the intergenerational distribution of income and wealth, concentrating on more developed countries (MDCs). The basic finding is that, while globalization is likely to erode the pension income of older persons, it will enhance their wealth and income from capital, leaving their overall spending power slightly improved. The working age population, which earns lower wages as a result of having less capital to work with, is an unambiguous loser from the globalization process. The main impact of globalization is unlikely, however, to be captured by economy-wide averages such as those presented in this paper. This is the redistribution from lifetime non-savers, especially the poor, who depend on labor income while young and wage-based intergenerational transfers when old, to lifetime savers, who are able to take advantage of improved capital returns. While the authors concentrate on MDCs in this paper, they make the point that economic impacts of globalization in less developed countries (LDCs) are opposite in sign and greater in magnitude. The latter is the case because reallocation of capital gives rise to a greater proportional change in the capital-output ratio in LDCs than in MDCs.
  Remarks: This paper can be downloaded at: http://www.issa.int/pdf/helsinki2000/topic1/2mackellar.PDF
   
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References related to Globalization (13 references are shown.)

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The IMF's Role in Structural Adjustment

  Author: Collier, Paul; Gunning, Jan Willem
Book: Economic-Journal
  Year: 1999 Vol: 109(459), pages F634-51.
  In the 1980s conditional lending for structural adjustment in developing countries moved the IMF beyond its role of macroeconomic crisis management. Fund-supported adjustment programmes have often been flawed by a lack of distributional analysis and by poor sequencing of reforms, notably premature financial liberalisation. As a result they have caused avoidable hardship. In addition, the attempt to taper out aid as part of the reform programme leads to avoidable reductions in post-stabilisation growth. An important role for the Fund in post-stabilisation environments is to provide credible signals to private investors.
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Globalization, Technology Transfer, and Skill Accumulation in the Low-Income Countries

  Author: Jörg Mayer
Book: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development(UNCTAD)/OSG/DP/150
  Year: August 2000
  The abstract of this paper: Globalization has drastically improved access of technological latecomers to advanced technologies and, to the extent that technological upgrading is important for development, it provides a unique opportunity for low-income countries to raise per capita income. This paper shows that low-income countries as a group have in fact substantially increased the GDP ratio of technology imports over the past few years, but that there are large cross-country discrepancies in technology upgrading within this group. General-purpose technology continues to constitute the bulk of technology imports, while sector-specific technology used for labour-intensive activities has gained in importance. Improved access to technology imports appears not to have improved labour productivity and the demand for skilled labour in many low-income countries. To raise the benefits reaped from globalization, governments might need to make additional efforts towards a simultaneous increase in technology imports and the skill level of the domestic labour force.
  Remarks: This paper can be downloaded in pdf format: http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/dp_150.en.pdf
   
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Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?

  Author: Geert Bekaert Campbell R. Harvey Christian Lundblad
Book:
  Year: 2001
  This paper shows that equity market liberalizations, on average, lead to a one percent increase in annual real economic growth over a five-year period. The liberalization effect is not spuriously accounted for by macro-economic reforms and does not reflect a business cycle effect. Although financial liberalizations further financial development, measures of financial development fail to fully drive out the liberalization effect. The investment/GDP ratio increases post liberalization, with the investment partially financed by foreign capital inducing worsened trade balances. Differentiating across liberalizing countries, a large secondary school enrollment, a small government sector and an Anglo-Saxon legal system tend to enhance the liberalization effect. Finally, the conditional convergence effect is larger once financial liberalization is accounted for.
  Remarks: Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 8245.
   
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Financial Services Liberalization in the WTO

  Author: Wendy Dobson, Pierre Jacquet
Book: Financial Services Liberalization in the WTO
  Year: 1998 Vol: ISBN paper 0-88132-254-7
  The authors assess the agreement reached in the WTO, identifying its shortcomings and suggesting ways that it can be bolstered in future negotiations. They analyze the impact of the agreement, and of the Asian financial crisis, on the state of liberalization and market opening in several important emerging-market economies梚ncluding a summary of the remaining obstacles to establishing efficient and open financial sectors. This book estimates the benefits of opening the financial sector to foreign competition. It assesses the macroeconomic benefits that flow from an improved financial sector and discusses the risks and costs involved in liberalization. The authors conclude with a blueprint for future efforts to liberalize financial services and emphasize that the recent financial services agreement represented only a beginning step in that process.
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Globalization and its discontents

  Author: McBride, Stephen; Wiseman, John, eds.
Book: New York: St.Martin's Press; London: Macmillan Press
  Year: 2000 Vol: pages xvi, 237.
  Fifteen papers, presented at a conference held at Simon Fraser University in July 1998, examine central dilemmas in relation to understanding the nature of globalization; explore political agency and the instruments of globalization; discuss contradictions and ambiguities; and address crisis, levels of action, and alternatives. Papers focus on the definition of globalization; the politics of globalization and labor strategies; the case of Australia and international finance; central bank independence in Japan and Italy; globalization and the policy process; international financial institutions, international capital flows, and financial liberalization in developing countries; benchmarking, global best practice, and production renorming in the Australian coal industry; explaining the limited impact of international tax competition; Canada's nonimmigrant employment authorization program; the case of recent revisions in U.S. immigration legislation; a legal and political critique of the International Confederation of Free Trade Unions' labor clause proposal; implications of globalization and pluralization for the Canadian welfare state; economic turmoil in Asia; rethinking global strategies; and alternatives to oppressive globalization. McBride is at Simon Fraser University. Wiseman is at RMIT University. Index.
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Growth Is Good for the Poor

  Author: David Dollar and Aart Kraay Development Research Group The World Bank
Book:
  Year: March 2000
  The abstractof this paper: Income of the poor rises one-for-one with overall growth. This general relationship between income of the bottom fifth of the population and per capita GDP holds in a sample of 80 countries covering four decades. Although there is a fair amount of variation around this general relationship, a number of popular views about the poverty-growth relationship are not true. The effect of growth on income of the poor is no different in poor countries than in rich ones. Incomes of the poor do not fall more than proportionately during economic crises. The poverty-growth relationship has not changed in recent years. We also show that policy-induced growth is as good for the poor as it is for the overall economy. Openness to foreign trade benefits the poor to the same extent that it benefits the whole economy. Good rule of law and fiscal discipline are other factors that benefit the poor to the same extent as the whole economy. Avoidance of high inflation in fact is “super-pro-poor”: that is, high inflation is more harmful to the income of the poor than to GDP overall. In contrast the authgors find no evidence that formal democratic institutions or public spending on health and education have systematic effects on incomes of the poor. These findings leave plenty of room for further work, because they emphasize the fact that we know very little about what systematically causes changes in the distribution of income.
  Remarks: This paper can be downloaded from www.worldbank.org/research
   
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Globalization and the Challenge for Developing Countries

  Author: Shahid Yusuf
Book: World Bank DECRG
  Year: June 2001
  The paper argues that there are several key and interrelated elements to globalization and that the future gains will derive from the degree to which countries are willing to embrace them together rather than in a sequenced fashion. Moreover, the future course of globalization is by no means assured in spite of the added momentum imparted by the gains in communications technology and the spread of the Internet. The degree to which countries have moved toward globalization varies widely. In both the industrialized and the developing countries skeptics question the benefits, and there is considerable resistance to further integration, resistance which stiffened following the east Asia crisis of 1997-98. This paper will concentrate mainly on the five interlinked aspects of globalization which present opportunities for developing countries – and discusses appropriate policy actions.
  Remarks: This paper can be downloadable at: http://econ.worldbank.org/files/2210_wps2618.pdf
   
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Globalization and Environment

  Author: Theodore Panayotou
Book: Working Paper No. 53 at Harvard University, Center for International Development (CID) Environment and Development Paper No.1
  Year:
  The abstract of this paper: Economic globalization impacts the environment and sustainable development in a wide variety of ways and through a multitude of channels. The purpose of this paper is (a) to identify the key links between globalization and environment; (b) to identify the major issues addressed in multilateral economic agreements in trade and finance that affect environmental sustainability; and (c) to review priority policy issues affecting the environment in multilateral economic agreements and environment, thus identifying incentives implicit in trade and investment policy measures that affect environmental sustainability. The author categorizes these issues under the primary areas of globalization: trade liberalization, investment and finance, and technology diffusion, the latter including intellectual property rights. In the case of the trade-environment interface, the paper examines the impact of both elements, and the causal relationship between them. It also pays special attention to multilateral environmental agreements and their potential effects on trade. An integrative section on the effects of globalization and environmental policy and performance leads to domestic and international priority policy issues and recommendations. The author concludes that globalization brings with it potentially large benefits as well as risks. The challenge is to manage the process of globalization in such a way that it promotes environmental sustainability and equitable human development. In short, the more integrated environmental and trade policies are, the more sustainable economic growth will be and the more globalization can be harnessed for the benefit of the environment.
  Remarks: The paper can be downloaded in pdf format. http://globalization.about.com/gi/dynamic/offsite.htm?site=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cid.harvard.edu%2Fcidwp%2F053.htm
   
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Globalization and social security

  Author: Landis MACKELLAR, Tatiana ERMOLIEVA & Helmut REISEN
Book:
  Year: September 2000
  The followig is the abstract of this paper: In this paper, the authors use a neoclassical model to quantify the impact of globalization on social security systems and the intergenerational distribution of income and wealth, concentrating on more developed countries (MDCs). The basic finding is that, while globalization is likely to erode the pension income of older persons, it will enhance their wealth and income from capital, leaving their overall spending power slightly improved. The working age population, which earns lower wages as a result of having less capital to work with, is an unambiguous loser from the globalization process. The main impact of globalization is unlikely, however, to be captured by economy-wide averages such as those presented in this paper. This is the redistribution from lifetime non-savers, especially the poor, who depend on labor income while young and wage-based intergenerational transfers when old, to lifetime savers, who are able to take advantage of improved capital returns. While the authors concentrate on MDCs in this paper, they make the point that economic impacts of globalization in less developed countries (LDCs) are opposite in sign and greater in magnitude. The latter is the case because reallocation of capital gives rise to a greater proportional change in the capital-output ratio in LDCs than in MDCs.
  Remarks: This paper can be downloaded at: http://www.issa.int/pdf/helsinki2000/topic1/2mackellar.PDF
   
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Globalization for Whom?

  Author: Mark Weisbrot
Book: Cornell International Law Journal, Symposium Issue
  Year: October 1998 Vol: Vol. 31, #3
  This journal includes the comparison between the age of globalization and the Bretton Woods Era, the relation between globalization & living standard and relation between globalization & monetary policy.
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Globalization, Knowledge, Education and Training in the Information Age

  Author: Mr Derrick L. Cogburn
Book:
  Year:
  This paper explores the contours of the on-going process of globalisation, including its alternative and contending perspectives. It also comments on its impact on society, the state, and the economy. Throughout this paper, there is an underlying focus on the impact of globalisation on knowledge, education and learning and the promises and challenges of the Global Information Infrastructure to meet the increasing needs and demands of the world’s citizens.
  Remarks: The paper can be downloaded at: http://www.unesco.org/webworld/infoethics_2/eng/papers/paper_23.htm
   
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The Economics of Globalization

  Author: edited by Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka
Book: Cambridge University Press
  Year:
  The increasing economic openness expressed in the globalization of independent economic systems has created problems as well as opportunities that cross formal borders in new and unexpected ways. This paper will tell the opportunities and challenges of globalization, limits to income distribution, etc
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The Transformation of Governance: Globalization, Devolution, and the Role of Government

  Author: Donald F. Kettl
Book:
  Year: June 2000
  Over the last generation, American government has been undergoing a steady, but often unnoticed, transformation. Its traditional processes and institutions have become more marginal to the fundamental debates. Meanwhile, new processes and institutions— often non-governmental ones—have become more central to public policy. In doing the peoples’ work to a large and growing degree, American governments share responsibility with other levels of government, with private companies, and with nonprofit organizations. This paper will tell how the transformation affect the government policies.
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